TE · Atlanta · 2026 outlook
Kyle Pitts Sr. caught 88 passes for 928 yards in 2025, the best totals of his career, and scored five times.
After several seasons of being the answer to a question nobody could resolve, Pitts finally posted the volume year: 118 targets, 88 catches, 928 yards, all 17 games. A 22.7 percent target share is a legitimate number-two role in a real offense, and the 75 percent catch rate is the highest of his career. What did not arrive is the scoring. Five touchdowns on 118 targets is a low rate, and it is the difference between a TE6 finish and a TE2 one. Atlanta throwing to Drake London near the goal line is most of the explanation, and that is not a problem that resolves itself.
For 2026 he is the most predictable player in this tier, which at tight end is a compliment. The schedule is neutral at 3 out of 5 with the bye in week 11. You know what you are getting: five and a half catches a week, roughly 55 yards, and a touchdown once every three or four games. The upside is a scoring bounce that his volume genuinely supports, worth 20 to 25 points. The downside is limited, because the target share and the full seasons are established rather than hoped for. Draft him as the floor play at a position where most of the alternatives are guesses.
Atlanta's red-zone throws go elsewhere, mostly to Drake London. Five scores on 118 targets is a low conversion rate rather than bad luck, and it has been a pattern rather than a single season. Any projection built on a scoring jump should be modest about it.
It is the most reasonable baseline he has ever given. Seventeen games, a 22.7 percent target share and 88 receptions is a stable, repeatable profile. The years of arguing about untapped ceiling are over; this is what the role produces.
As the floor option in the middle tight end tier. He will not win you a week, and he will also not leave you starting a replacement in week 9. At a position where half the drafted starters do exactly that, predictability is worth a round.
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