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Bijan Robinson. The Falcons have him as a true three-down back with a full target share in the passing game. Achane is explosive but shares a backfield with Jeff Wilson Jr. and Raheem Mostert on a Miami offense that still rotates heavily. In PPR scoring, Robinson's reception floor gives him the safer floor and a similar ceiling.

Target share is the number that matters most. A receiver who sees 25% or more of their team's targets in a good passing offense has a floor every week regardless of touchdowns. Separation metrics tell you if the volume is scheme-generated or talent-generated. The best PPR assets combine both: high target share and genuine route-running that earns catches in traffic.

Sam LaPorta and Trey McBride sit at the top of a thin class. LaPorta had 86 targets as a rookie and the Lions give their TE a real role. McBride finished as a top-5 TE on target volume alone. Below those two the position drops off fast. Waiting until Round 8-10 and rostering two streamers often beats reaching in Round 4.

Scout grades QBs on completion percentage above expectation (CPOE), EPA per dropback, pressure-to-sack rate, and clean-pocket passer rating. CPOE is the most predictive of future performance because it adjusts for the difficulty of throws rather than raw completion rate. A QB with positive CPOE is generating value against the coverage, not just throwing easy completions.

It depends on backfield structure. In a true workhorse system, the backup inherits near-full value. In a committee, the next man up gets a larger share of an already-split pie. The key variable is game script: teams that trail throw more, which shrinks the backup RB's rushing volume. Look for teams that were already leaning on one back and tend to play from ahead.