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WR · 2025 season

Christian Watson or Luther Burden III?

Christian Watson led Luther Burden III in 6 of 7 measured 2025 categories to 1.

Christian Watson (Green Bay, 10 games) against Luther Burden III (Chicago, 15 games). Every number below is measured, not projected.

Category by category

What actually
happened.

Christian Watson vs Luther Burden III, 2025 regular season. A check marks the category leader.
MetricChristian WatsonLuther Burden III
Target Share12.0%11.3%
Snap Share67.7%n/a
Air Yards Share22.8%9.3%
Average Depth of Target17.767.67
Yards Per Target11.1110.87
Receiving Yards611652
WOPR0.340.23
Receiving EPA+32.3+30.1

Categories won: Christian Watson 6, Luther Burden III 1, 1 with no separation.

Our read

The part the box score
can't tell you.

Last season is settled. The decision isn't. Our read on this pair covers the 2026 projection for both players, how confident we are and why, the situational changes that don't show up above, and which one we'd take in each scoring format.

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Other calls
Asked & answered

Straight answers,
no filler.

Who had the better 2025 season, Christian Watson or Luther Burden III?

Christian Watson led Luther Burden III in 6 of 7 measured 2025 categories to 1.

What separates Christian Watson and Luther Burden III statistically?

Christian Watson led on target share (12.0% to 11.3%). Christian Watson led on air yards share (22.8% to 9.3%). Christian Watson led on average depth of target (17.76 to 7.67).

Where do these numbers come from?

Every figure is 2025 regular-season data from nflverse, published under CC BY 4.0. Nothing on the free half of this page is projected or estimated, and nothing on it came from a paywalled source.

Source

Data from nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. 2025 regular season, snapshot taken July 28, 2026. Source: nflverse-data. Licence: CC BY 4.0. gamedai is an independent analytics platform and is not affiliated with the National Football League.