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WR · 2025 season

Brian Thomas Jr. or Rashee Rice?

Brian Thomas Jr. led Rashee Rice in 7 of 7 measured 2025 categories to 0.

Brian Thomas Jr. (Jacksonville, 14 games) against Rashee Rice (Kansas City, 8 games). Every number below is measured, not projected.

Category by category

What actually
happened.

Brian Thomas Jr. vs Rashee Rice, 2025 regular season. A check marks the category leader.
MetricBrian Thomas Jr.Rashee Rice
Target Share16.6%14.2%
Snap Sharen/a74.9%
Air Yards Share26.9%7.5%
Average Depth of Target14.454.33
Yards Per Target7.777.32
Receiving Yards707571
WOPR0.440.27
Receiving EPA+17.2+16.0

Categories won: Brian Thomas Jr. 7, Rashee Rice 0, 1 with no separation.

Our read

The part the box score
can't tell you.

Last season is settled. The decision isn't. Our read on this pair covers the 2026 projection for both players, how confident we are and why, the situational changes that don't show up above, and which one we'd take in each scoring format.

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Other calls
Asked & answered

Straight answers,
no filler.

Who had the better 2025 season, Brian Thomas Jr. or Rashee Rice?

Brian Thomas Jr. led Rashee Rice in 7 of 7 measured 2025 categories to 0.

What separates Brian Thomas Jr. and Rashee Rice statistically?

Brian Thomas Jr. led on target share (16.6% to 14.2%). Brian Thomas Jr. led on air yards share (26.9% to 7.5%). Brian Thomas Jr. led on average depth of target (14.45 to 4.33).

Where do these numbers come from?

Every figure is 2025 regular-season data from nflverse, published under CC BY 4.0. Nothing on the free half of this page is projected or estimated, and nothing on it came from a paywalled source.

Source

Data from nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. 2025 regular season, snapshot taken July 28, 2026. Source: nflverse-data. Licence: CC BY 4.0. gamedai is an independent analytics platform and is not affiliated with the National Football League.