A.J. Brown and Tetairoa McMillan split the 2025 season 4 measured categories each, so the choice comes down to situation rather than last year's production.
A.J. Brown (Philadelphia, 15 games) against Tetairoa McMillan (Carolina, 17 games). Every number below is measured, not projected.
| Metric | A.J. Brown | Tetairoa McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| Target Share | 26.1% ✓ | 25.4% |
| Snap Share | 90.7% ✓ | 87.2% |
| Air Yards Share | 31.8% | 40.9% ✓ |
| Average Depth of Target | 11.78 ✓ | 11.56 |
| Yards Per Target | 8.29 | 8.31 ✓ |
| Receiving Yards | 1,003 | 1,014 ✓ |
| WOPR | 0.61 | 0.67 ✓ |
| Receiving EPA | +33.7 ✓ | +25.3 |
Categories won: A.J. Brown 4, Tetairoa McMillan 4.
Last season is settled. The decision isn't. Our read on this pair covers the 2026 projection for both players, how confident we are and why, the situational changes that don't show up above, and which one we'd take in each scoring format.
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Join the waitlist and buyA.J. Brown and Tetairoa McMillan split the 2025 season 4 measured categories each, so the choice comes down to situation rather than last year's production.
A.J. Brown led on target share (26.1% to 25.4%). A.J. Brown led on snap share (90.7% to 87.2%). Tetairoa McMillan led on air yards share (40.9% to 31.8%).
Every figure is 2025 regular-season data from nflverse, published under CC BY 4.0. Nothing on the free half of this page is projected or estimated, and nothing on it came from a paywalled source.
Data from nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. 2025 regular season, snapshot taken July 28, 2026. Source: nflverse-data. Licence: CC BY 4.0. gamedai is an independent analytics platform and is not affiliated with the National Football League.