Patrick Mahomes led Trevor Lawrence in 2 of 2 measured 2025 categories to 0.
Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City, 14 games) against Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville, 17 games). Every number below is measured, not projected.
| Metric | Patrick Mahomes | Trevor Lawrence |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 422 ✓ | 359 |
| Rushing EPA | +29.2 ✓ | +25.8 |
Categories won: Patrick Mahomes 2, Trevor Lawrence 0.
Last season is settled. The decision isn't. Our read on this pair covers the 2026 projection for both players, how confident we are and why, the situational changes that don't show up above, and which one we'd take in each scoring format.
Every comparison for $19
One payment, the whole season, no subscription. And you won't pay twice: subscribe in the app later with the same email and we credit this back.
Join the waitlist and buyPatrick Mahomes led Trevor Lawrence in 2 of 2 measured 2025 categories to 0.
Patrick Mahomes led on rushing yards (422 to 359). Patrick Mahomes led on rushing expected points added (+29.2 to +25.8).
Every figure is 2025 regular-season data from nflverse, published under CC BY 4.0. Nothing on the free half of this page is projected or estimated, and nothing on it came from a paywalled source.
Data from nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. 2025 regular season, snapshot taken July 28, 2026. Source: nflverse-data. Licence: CC BY 4.0. gamedai is an independent analytics platform and is not affiliated with the National Football League.