Caleb Williams and Trevor Lawrence split the 2025 season 1 measured categories each, so the choice comes down to situation rather than last year's production.
Caleb Williams (Chicago, 17 games) against Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville, 17 games). Every number below is measured, not projected.
| Metric | Caleb Williams | Trevor Lawrence |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 383 ✓ | 359 |
| Rushing EPA | +5.4 | +25.8 ✓ |
Categories won: Caleb Williams 1, Trevor Lawrence 1.
Last season is settled. The decision isn't. Our read on this pair covers the 2026 projection for both players, how confident we are and why, the situational changes that don't show up above, and which one we'd take in each scoring format.
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Join the waitlist and buyCaleb Williams and Trevor Lawrence split the 2025 season 1 measured categories each, so the choice comes down to situation rather than last year's production.
Caleb Williams led on rushing yards (383 to 359). Trevor Lawrence led on rushing expected points added (+25.8 to +5.4).
Every figure is 2025 regular-season data from nflverse, published under CC BY 4.0. Nothing on the free half of this page is projected or estimated, and nothing on it came from a paywalled source.
Data from nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. 2025 regular season, snapshot taken July 28, 2026. Source: nflverse-data. Licence: CC BY 4.0. gamedai is an independent analytics platform and is not affiliated with the National Football League.