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Search-ranked weekly decisions

Start/Sit Week 1 preview

Measured search demand sets the opening order. Completed-season production fills the remaining spots, with the published week 1 schedule beside every player.

Data as of .

Data from nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. Schedule data from the ESPN public site API.

#1 · QB

Bo Nix or Justin Herbert

The numbers favor Bo Nix this week: Bo Nix led Justin Herbert in 2025 passing yards, 3,931 to 3,727.

Bo Nix, Denver QB · Justin Herbert, Los Angeles (AFC) QB

Search signal: 49 impressions for “bo nix vs justin herbert head to head” in the committed Google Search Console snapshot.

Measured Bo Nix and Justin Herbert production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatBo NixJustin Herbert
Passing yards3,931✓ leads3,727
Passing touchdowns2526✓ leads
Interceptions11✓ leads13
Rushing yards356498✓ leads
Rushing touchdowns5✓ leads2
Completion above expected-1.2%+1.6%✓ leads
Fantasy points304.8✓ leads286.9
Snap share100%✓ leads97%
Bo Nix
Week 1: at KC, Mon, Sep 14, 8:15 PM EDT
Justin Herbert
Week 1: vs ARI, Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

#2 · RB

David Montgomery or Quinshon Judkins

The numbers favor Quinshon Judkins this week: Quinshon Judkins led David Montgomery in 2025 carries, 230 to 158.

David Montgomery, Houston RB · Quinshon Judkins, Cleveland RB

Search signal: 47 impressions for “judkins or montgomery” in the committed Google Search Console snapshot.

Measured David Montgomery and Quinshon Judkins production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatDavid MontgomeryQuinshon Judkins
Carries158230✓ leads
Rushing yards716827✓ leads
Rushing touchdowns8✓ leads7
Targets2936✓ leads
Receptions2426✓ leads
Receiving yards192✓ leads171
Fantasy points166.9169.8✓ leads
Snap share37%51%✓ leads
David Montgomery
Week 1: vs BUF, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT
Quinshon Judkins
Week 1: at JAX, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

#3 · RB

Chase Brown or Saquon Barkley

The numbers favor Saquon Barkley this week: Saquon Barkley led Chase Brown in 2025 carries, 280 to 232.

Chase Brown, Cincinnati RB · Saquon Barkley, Philadelphia RB

Search signal: 37 impressions for “chase brown or saquon barkley” in the committed Google Search Console snapshot.

Measured Chase Brown and Saquon Barkley production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatChase BrownSaquon Barkley
Carries232280✓ leads
Rushing yards1,0191,140✓ leads
Rushing touchdowns67✓ leads
Targets88✓ leads50
Receptions69✓ leads37
Receiving yards437✓ leads273
Fantasy points282.6✓ leads232.3
Snap share67%78%✓ leads
Chase Brown
Week 1: vs TB, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT
Saquon Barkley
Week 1: vs WAS, Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

#4 · QB

Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford

The numbers favor Matthew Stafford this week: Matthew Stafford led Josh Allen in 2025 passing yards, 4,707 to 3,668.

Josh Allen, Buffalo QB · Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles (NFC) QB

Listed after the measured search rows in the curated production order.

Measured Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatJosh AllenMatthew Stafford
Passing yards3,6684,707✓ leads
Passing touchdowns2546✓ leads
Interceptions108✓ leads
Rushing yards579✓ leads1
Rushing touchdowns14✓ leads0
Completion above expected+3.5%✓ leads+1.5%
Fantasy points364.6✓ leads350.4
Snap share92%99%✓ leads
Josh Allen
Week 1: at HOU, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT
Matthew Stafford
Week 1: vs SF, Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

#5 · QB

Drake Maye or Trevor Lawrence

The numbers favor Drake Maye this week: Drake Maye led Trevor Lawrence in 2025 passing yards, 4,394 to 4,007.

Drake Maye, New England QB · Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville QB

Listed after the measured search rows in the curated production order.

Measured Drake Maye and Trevor Lawrence production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatDrake MayeTrevor Lawrence
Passing yards4,394✓ leads4,007
Passing touchdowns31✓ leads29
Interceptions8✓ leads12
Rushing yards450✓ leads359
Rushing touchdowns49✓ leads
Completion above expected+10.8%✓ leads-1.9%
Fantasy points352.0✓ leads338.2
Snap share96%97%✓ leads
Drake Maye
Week 1: at SEA, Wed, Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Trevor Lawrence
Week 1: vs CLE, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

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#6 · QB

Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott

The numbers favor Dak Prescott this week: Dak Prescott led Caleb Williams in 2025 passing yards, 4,552 to 3,942.

Caleb Williams, Chicago QB · Dak Prescott, Dallas QB

Listed after the measured search rows in the curated production order.

Measured Caleb Williams and Dak Prescott production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatCaleb WilliamsDak Prescott
Passing yards3,9424,552✓ leads
Passing touchdowns2730✓ leads
Interceptions7✓ leads10
Rushing yards388✓ leads177
Rushing touchdowns3✓ leads2
Completion above expected-3.5%+2.2%✓ leads
Fantasy points318.7✓ leads313.8
Snap share99%✓ leads95%
Caleb Williams
Week 1: at CAR, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT
Dak Prescott
Week 1: at NYG, Sun, Sep 13, 8:20 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

#7 · RB

Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor

The numbers favor Jonathan Taylor this week: Jonathan Taylor led Christian McCaffrey in 2025 carries, 323 to 311.

Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco RB · Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis RB

Listed after the measured search rows in the curated production order.

Measured Christian McCaffrey and Jonathan Taylor production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatChristian McCaffreyJonathan Taylor
Carries311323✓ leads
Rushing yards1,2021,585✓ leads
Rushing touchdowns1018✓ leads
Targets129✓ leads55
Receptions102✓ leads46
Receiving yards924✓ leads378
Fantasy points416.6✓ leads362.3
Snap share83%✓ leads83%
Christian McCaffrey
Week 1: at LA, Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM EDT
Jonathan Taylor
Week 1: vs BAL, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

#8 · RB

Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs

The numbers favor Bijan Robinson this week: Bijan Robinson led Jahmyr Gibbs in 2025 carries, 287 to 243.

Bijan Robinson, Atlanta RB · Jahmyr Gibbs, Detroit RB

Listed after the measured search rows in the curated production order.

Measured Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatBijan RobinsonJahmyr Gibbs
Carries287✓ leads243
Rushing yards1,478✓ leads1,223
Rushing touchdowns713✓ leads
Targets103✓ leads94
Receptions79✓ leads77
Receiving yards820✓ leads616
Fantasy points370.8✓ leads366.9
Snap share78%✓ leads67%
Bijan Robinson
Week 1: at PIT, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT
Jahmyr Gibbs
Week 1: vs NO, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

#9 · RB

De'Von Achane or James Cook

The numbers favor James Cook this week: James Cook led De'Von Achane in 2025 carries, 309 to 238.

De'Von Achane, Miami RB · James Cook, Buffalo RB

Listed after the measured search rows in the curated production order.

Measured De'Von Achane and James Cook production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatDe'Von AchaneJames Cook
Carries238309✓ leads
Rushing yards1,3501,621✓ leads
Rushing touchdowns812✓ leads
Targets85✓ leads40
Receptions67✓ leads33
Receiving yards488✓ leads291
Fantasy points322.8✓ leads302.2
Snap share75%✓ leads57%
De'Von Achane
Week 1: at LV, Sun, Sep 13, 4:25 PM EDT
James Cook
Week 1: at HOU, Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

#10 · WR

Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Puka Nacua

The numbers favor Puka Nacua this week: Puka Nacua led Jaxon Smith-Njigba in 2025 targets, 166 to 163.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seattle WR · Puka Nacua, Los Angeles (NFC) WR

Listed after the measured search rows in the curated production order.

Measured Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Puka Nacua production. A check marks the side ahead.
StatJaxon Smith-NjigbaPuka Nacua
Targets163166✓ leads
Receptions119129✓ leads
Receiving yards1,793✓ leads1,715
Receiving touchdowns1010
Yards per reception15.07✓ leads13.29
Fantasy points359.9375.0✓ leads
Snap share77%✓ leads68%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Week 1: vs NE, Wed, Sep 9, 8:20 PM EDT
Puka Nacua
Week 1: vs SF, Thu, Sep 10, 8:35 PM EDT

See the full stat breakdown

Asked & answered

Straight answers,
no filler.

Bo Nix or Justin Herbert in week 1?

The numbers favor Bo Nix this week: Bo Nix led Justin Herbert in 2025 passing yards, 3,931 to 3,727.

David Montgomery or Quinshon Judkins in week 1?

The numbers favor Quinshon Judkins this week: Quinshon Judkins led David Montgomery in 2025 carries, 230 to 158.

Chase Brown or Saquon Barkley in week 1?

The numbers favor Saquon Barkley this week: Saquon Barkley led Chase Brown in 2025 carries, 280 to 232.

Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford in week 1?

The numbers favor Matthew Stafford this week: Matthew Stafford led Josh Allen in 2025 passing yards, 4,707 to 3,668.

Drake Maye or Trevor Lawrence in week 1?

The numbers favor Drake Maye this week: Drake Maye led Trevor Lawrence in 2025 passing yards, 4,394 to 4,007.

Caleb Williams or Dak Prescott in week 1?

The numbers favor Dak Prescott this week: Dak Prescott led Caleb Williams in 2025 passing yards, 4,552 to 3,942.

Christian McCaffrey or Jonathan Taylor in week 1?

The numbers favor Jonathan Taylor this week: Jonathan Taylor led Christian McCaffrey in 2025 carries, 323 to 311.

Bijan Robinson or Jahmyr Gibbs in week 1?

The numbers favor Bijan Robinson this week: Bijan Robinson led Jahmyr Gibbs in 2025 carries, 287 to 243.

De'Von Achane or James Cook in week 1?

The numbers favor James Cook this week: James Cook led De'Von Achane in 2025 carries, 309 to 238.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Puka Nacua in week 1?

The numbers favor Puka Nacua this week: Puka Nacua led Jaxon Smith-Njigba in 2025 targets, 166 to 163.