Tez Johnson

What 2026 looks like

How is Tez Johnson doing in fantasy this year? This is gamedai's editorial 2026 projection for Tez Johnson, not measured production. See the full breakdown below.

Johnson's rookie-year usage for Tampa Bay was limited but efficient. He played 15 games at a 47.1 percent snap share, a real role but clearly not the team's first or second read in the passing game given an 8.1 percent target share. What stood out was the touchdown rate: 5 scores on just 28 catches, well above what his 322 yards alone would predict, aided by a 7.32 yards-per-target average and a knack for finding the end zone on shorter routes. An average depth of target of 11.7 yards shows Tampa Bay used him on some intermediate routes, not purely as a gadget or screen option, which is a good sign for a receiver this early in his career.

The 2026 outlook depends on whether Tampa Bay's target distribution opens up for him as he gets more comfortable in the offense. A jump from 44 targets to somewhere in the low 60s is a reasonable year-two step, but he's still competing with more established receivers in that room for volume, so an 8 percent target share is close to the ceiling until proven otherwise. Treat him as a boom-or-bust bench piece who needs touchdown luck to hit weekly value, since his catch volume alone doesn't support a weekly starting role in most formats.

Asked & answered