WR · Tampa Bay
Tez Johnson fantasy outlook 2026
Tez Johnson turned a modest target share into real touchdown production for Tampa Bay in 2025. His per-target volume still trails the receivers ahead of him on the depth chart.
2026 projections
The numbers,
projected.
| Metric | Projection |
|---|---|
| Games | 16 |
| Targets | 62 |
| Receptions | 40 |
| Receiving yards | 480 |
| Receiving TDs | 4 |
| Positional rank (PPR) | WR48–WR58 |
Projections are gamedai editorial estimates for the 2026 season, PPR scoring, and will move with news, injuries, and role changes.
The outlook
What 2026 looks like
for Tez Johnson.
Johnson's rookie-year usage for Tampa Bay was limited but efficient. He played 15 games at a 47.1 percent snap share, a real role but clearly not the team's first or second read in the passing game given an 8.1 percent target share. What stood out was the touchdown rate: 5 scores on just 28 catches, well above what his 322 yards alone would predict, aided by a 7.32 yards-per-target average and a knack for finding the end zone on shorter routes. An average depth of target of 11.7 yards shows Tampa Bay used him on some intermediate routes, not purely as a gadget or screen option, which is a good sign for a receiver this early in his career.
The 2026 outlook depends on whether Tampa Bay's target distribution opens up for him as he gets more comfortable in the offense. A jump from 44 targets to somewhere in the low 60s is a reasonable year-two step, but he's still competing with more established receivers in that room for volume, so an 8 percent target share is close to the ceiling until proven otherwise. Treat him as a boom-or-bust bench piece who needs touchdown luck to hit weekly value, since his catch volume alone doesn't support a weekly starting role in most formats.
Put it to work
Deciding on Tez Johnson?
Run the numbers.
Weighing Tez Johnson against another option in your lineup? Get a projection-grounded verdict from the free start/sit tool. Fielding a trade offer that involves him? Price both sides with the trade analyzer before you answer. And check where he lands against the rest of the position in the final rankings.
More WR outlooks: Josh Downs · Puka Nacua · Ja'Marr Chase · Justin Jefferson · all players
Asked & answered
Straight answers,
no filler.
What are Tez Johnson's 2025 stats?
He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns across 15 games, playing 47.1 percent of Tampa Bay's offensive snaps.
Is Tez Johnson a good fantasy sleeper for 2026?
He has upside as a touchdown-dependent bench piece. His 5 scores on just 28 catches in 2025 is an efficient rate, and if his target share grows in year two, that touchdown ability could translate into flex-worthy weeks.
What is Tez Johnson's role in Tampa Bay's offense?
He's a rotational receiver working an intermediate route tree, shown by an 11.7-yard average depth of target, rather than a pure slot or screen option. His 2025 target share was 8.1 percent, so he's currently a complementary piece, not a primary target.
Is Tez Johnson worth rostering given his low target share?
It's a fair question. An 8.1 percent target share and 44 targets across a full season is thin volume for consistent fantasy production, and touchdown-dependent receivers are streaky by nature. He's a speculative add, not a reliable starter, until his target share climbs.