Jayden Daniels played seven games in 2025 and ran for 278 yards in them, a per-game rushing rate that only Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson live in.
What 2026 looks like
Seven games is not enough to draw a conclusion from, which is exactly the situation the market is pricing. What the seven games do show is that the rushing role survived his second season: 278 yards is about 40 a game, and only two other quarterbacks in football run at that rate. The passing was ordinary, eight touchdowns against three interceptions on 1,262 yards, and it is the part of his profile with the most room to move in either direction. A quarterback who runs like this does not need a good passing season to finish well. He needs a healthy one.
For 2026 the honest read is that he carries the widest range of outcomes in this tier, and the schedule does not help. Washington rates a 2 out of 5 for quarterbacks, one of the harder slates in the league, with the bye in week 7. Stack a tough schedule on an injury-shortened year and a passing line that has not yet proven itself, and you get a player whose price should be a discount rather than a premium. Take him as the upside swing in a superflex league where you have a solid starter already, not as the quarterback your season depends on.
Asked & answered
Can you trust seven games of production?
Not as a projection, no. What those games establish is the role: he was still running 40 yards a game, which is the part of his profile that produces fantasy points. Treat the rushing as real and the passing line as an open question, because 1,262 yards across seven games tells you almost nothing about a full season.
How bad is Washington's 2026 quarterback schedule?
A 2 out of 5, which is among the tougher slates in the league. It is not a reason on its own to pass on him, but it is a reason not to pay up for a bounce-back. When a player already carries injury and passing-volume questions, an unhelpful schedule is one more thing that has to go right.
Where should he go in a 2026 draft?
Later than his talent suggests and about where his risk suggests. In a one-quarterback league he is a fine second starter to pair with a safer one. In superflex he is worth a real pick, because a quarterback who runs at his rate has a ceiling almost nobody at the position can match.
Week 1 kicks off September 9.
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