QB · Philadelphia · 2026 outlook
Jalen Hurts draws the easiest quarterback schedule in football for 2026, a 5 out of 5, on top of a rushing role that produced eight touchdowns in 2025.
Hurts is the cleanest example of why quarterback rushing scores are worth chasing. His 2025 passing line was modest by elite-quarterback standards, 3,224 yards in 16 games, and it did not stop him finishing high, because eight rushing touchdowns are worth 48 points and Philadelphia hands him the ball at the goal line by design rather than by accident. The 25-to-6 touchdown-to-interception ratio is the other half of it. He is not asked to carry a passing offense on volume, so he throws in favorable spots, and the efficiency follows from the role rather than from anything he has to sustain week to week.
For 2026 he holds the single most useful piece of schedule context on the board: Philadelphia rates 5 out of 5 for quarterbacks, the easiest slate in the league, with the bye in week 10. That is the one place where schedule genuinely moves a draft decision, because it stacks on top of a scoring role that already has a high floor. The case against him is that his passing volume caps his ceiling. If you want the quarterback who wins you a week single-handedly through the air, that is not him. If you want the one who quietly returns 20 points a week without needing anything to go right, he is close to the best version of that.
At the margin, which is all schedule ever does. A 5 out of 5 slate is worth moving him up a slot or two past a quarterback you rate the same, not past one you rate higher. It matters more for him than most because his scoring already leans on short-yardage work, and softer defenses give up those situations more often.
Philadelphia does not need him to throw 40 times a game. He put up 3,224 yards in 16 games with a 25-to-6 touchdown-to-interception ratio, which is efficient rather than voluminous. The offense generates its own scoring chances on the ground, and he converts them himself.
About as safe as the position offers. The rushing touchdowns give him a floor that does not depend on a passing game clicking, and he has played 15 games or more in each of the last several seasons. The tradeoff is that the ceiling is capped by the same thing that makes the floor high.
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