DJ Moore

What 2026 looks like

Moore's full 17-game season produced ordinary volume for a receiver at this point on the board. He saw 85 targets, caught 50 at a 59% rate, and finished with 682 yards and 6 touchdowns. His 13.6 yards per catch preserved some value on a modest reception count, but the 16.0% target share didn't command the passing game. Buffalo is his team for 2026, a new situation his 2025 season can't describe. That season shows durability and moderate production. It doesn't prove what his target position will be in the new setting.

Unlike most receivers near him on the board, Moore has no gap between consensus and draft behavior. His overall rank 49, WR25 standing, and tier 5 placement align with his average draft position at +0. That agreement makes the price transparent rather than obviously discounted. Buffalo's 2026 receiver schedule rates 4 of 5, an easy draw, and the bye comes in week 7. The schedule helps, though it can't answer the open role question. Managers are choosing a player who posted 682 yards on a 16.0% share, then carrying that measured profile into Buffalo's 2026 setting without assuming his volume will increase.

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