WR · Philadelphia · 2026 outlook
DeVonta Smith drew a 24.4% target share and cleared 1,008 receiving yards across 17 games in 2025.
Smith's 2025 production gives his draft case a sturdy volume base. He played 17 games, drew 113 targets, and caught 77 passes for 1,008 yards. A 68% catch rate paired with 13.1 yards per catch shows that his output didn't depend on empty short gains. Philadelphia sent 24.4% of its targets his way, enough work to keep him involved throughout the season. The weakness is clear in the scoring column. Four receiving touchdowns lag behind the rest of the line, so his measured season offered less scoring help than his catches and yardage might suggest.
Draft context makes Smith more appealing than his current market price. The consensus places him at overall rank 21, WR12, in tier 3, while his average draft position sits 11 spots lower. That gap says drafters are making him wait after the experts have already accepted the modest touchdown total. Philadelphia's 2026 receiver schedule rates 4 of 5, an easy draw, and the bye falls in week 10. His role doesn't require a leap in target share to justify the ranking. Still, managers seeking a heavy touchdown profile should recognize that 2025 brought Smith only 4 scores despite full availability and substantial usage.
The consensus ranks Smith 11 spots higher than drafters do. His 113 targets, 77 receptions, 1,008 yards, and 24.4% target share support that confidence. The market may be reacting to the 4 touchdowns, but the broader 2025 workload remained steady across 17 games.
Touchdowns were the obvious weakness. Smith scored 4 times despite playing 17 games and receiving 113 targets. His 77 catches and 1,008 yards kept the season productive, but managers shouldn't treat the scoring column as if it matched his target volume.
Philadelphia has a 4 of 5 receiver schedule, which is rated easy, with a week 10 bye. That schedule supports the consensus WR12 placement, though it doesn't erase the scoring concern created by only 4 receiving touchdowns in 2025 for Philadelphia.
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