RB · Houston · 2026 outlook
David Montgomery scored 8 rushing touchdowns on a 37% snap share, making role size the central question behind his Houston value.
Montgomery turned a limited snap share into useful 2025 production. Over 17 games, he ran 158 times for 716 yards and averaged 4.53 per carry. His 8 rushing touchdowns gave the ground role scoring weight even though he was on the field for 37% of snaps. Houston also has a measured receiving baseline of 24 catches for 192 yards. The efficiency and touchdown total deserve credit. So does the limitation: a 37% share leaves his output tied closely to a smaller role, and nothing in the measured season explains how those snaps will be divided in 2026. His results were real, but the workload had little room to shrink.
Draft rooms treat Montgomery more aggressively than the consensus board. He ranks 60 overall, RB21, in tier 6, while drafters move him 12 spots earlier. An easy 4 of 5 schedule rating helps his 2026 setup, and the bye comes in week 8. The cost still asks managers to trust that 8 rushing touchdowns and 4.53 yards per carry can overcome a 37% snap share. That may happen, but the measured line makes the dependency clear. Montgomery doesn't need a massive role to produce if his efficiency and scoring persist. If either falls, 158 carries and 24 receptions offer a thinner base than the earlier draft position implies.
Montgomery received 158 carries across 17 games and turned them into 716 yards at 4.53 per attempt. He also scored 8 rushing touchdowns and caught 24 passes for 192 yards. Efficient rushing and touchdown production allowed a smaller field share to yield value, though that formula can be sensitive to change.
His 37% snap share is the clearest concern. Montgomery's 8 rushing touchdowns and 4.53 yards per carry helped him overcome that limited role in 2025, but the workload offers less protection if either rate changes. The measured season doesn't show whether Houston will increase, preserve, or reduce his future share.
Consensus ranks him 60 overall, RB21, and in tier 6. Drafters take Montgomery 12 spots earlier, so his market price exceeds the board's view. His schedule rates an easy 4 of 5 and his bye falls in week 8, but buyers still need his smaller role to remain efficient and productive as a scorer.
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