QB · San Francisco · 2026 outlook
Brock Purdy played nine games in 2025 and threw 20 touchdowns in them, a per-game rate nobody outside the top five matches.
Twenty touchdowns in nine games is a 38-touchdown pace, and it is the reason a quarterback who missed most of a season is still inside the top 100. The rest of the line is less flattering. Ten interceptions in nine games is a bad rate, worse than any full-season passer ranked above him, and 147 rushing yards means there is no floor underneath a quiet week. He is a high-efficiency passer in a scheme that produces high-efficiency passers, and separating the two has never been easy from the outside.
For 2026 the schedule is the hardest note in his file: San Francisco rates a 1 out of 5 for quarterbacks, the toughest slate in the league alongside one other team, with the bye in week 8. That is a real headwind for a passer whose value is entirely in efficiency rather than volume or rushing. The consensus has him 18 spots higher than his average draft position, which is the largest such gap of any quarterback on this board and says the experts see the touchdown rate while drafters see the missed games. Take him as a second quarterback in superflex, not as the one you plan around.
As a backup or a superflex second starter, yes. Twenty touchdowns in nine games is a genuine top-five rate. The problem is that everything supporting it is fragile: ten interceptions in that same span, no rushing production, and the toughest quarterback schedule in the league waiting in 2026.
The consensus has him 18 spots above his average draft position, the widest quarterback gap on the board. Drafters are pricing nine games; the consensus is pricing the per-game rate inside them. Both are looking at the same season and weighting availability differently.
More than it would hurt a runner. A 1 out of 5 quarterback slate is the toughest in the league, and Purdy has no rushing floor to fall back on when the passing game is squeezed. For a player whose entire case is efficiency, facing the hardest defenses is the wrong matchup.
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