WR · New England · 2026 outlook
A.J. Brown moved to New England after a 2025 season in which he commanded 26 percent of Philadelphia's targets on a 91 percent snap share.
How is A.J. Brown doing in fantasy this year? A.J. Brown's measured 2025 season starts with Games: 15. See the full breakdown below.
The 2025 season was a good one interrupted twice: 78 catches for 1,003 yards and seven scores across 15 games, on a 26.1 percent target share and a 90.7 percent snap share. Those last two numbers are the ones that matter for projecting him forward, because they say he was a genuine number one who almost never left the field. Eight and a quarter yards a target is strong efficiency for that volume, and it comes from winning downfield and after the catch rather than from soaking up short throws. The missed games are the recurring theme of his career and the reason his price never quite matches his per-game production.
New England changes the question from how good is he to how much will he see. A 26 percent target share is a property of an offense as much as a player, and there is no guarantee the new one hands him the same. The schedule does not help either: New England rates a 2 out of 5 for receivers in 2026, one of the harder slates, with the bye in week 11. What is portable is the efficiency and the snap share, both of which say he is a full-time outside receiver wherever he lines up. Draft him as a high-end WR2 with WR1 upside if the targets follow him, and price the move as uncertainty rather than as an upgrade or a downgrade.
New England. The move is reflected in the depth-chart snapshot this site is built from, taken 2026-08-31, and on the consensus draft board. Any outlook still describing him as a Philadelphia receiver, including an earlier version of this page, is out of date.
It adds uncertainty rather than a clear verdict. His 2025 value came from a 26.1 percent target share in a specific offense, and target shares do not transfer with a player. The 90.7 percent snap share is the part most likely to follow him, because full-time outside receivers stay full-time.
Enough to price in. He played 15 games in 2025 and has missed time in several seasons. On a per-game basis he produces like a top-five receiver; across a full season he tends to land a tier below that, and the difference is almost entirely availability.
It works against him at the margin. A 2 out of 5 receiver schedule is among the tougher ones, and the bye falls in week 11. Schedule is a tiebreaker rather than a ranking, but when it stacks on top of a new offense and an injury history, it is one more reason not to reach.
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